Tag Archives: public opinion

How the public, bad process and a disengaged president killed Trumpcare

Trumpcare seems to be dead, but what killed it? Three dynamics mattered, including President Trump himself. First, the public strongly opposed all versions of Trumpcare and vocally said so. Every poll showed that the House and Senate versions of Trumpcare were deeply unpopular. As time went on, Obamacare got more popular and tended to poll […]

What Bruce Poliquin’s ear buds tell us about American politics

By now, the story of Rep. Bruce Poliquin’s dash into a bathroom and reemergence with ear buds has become the subject of mocking humor, with editorial cartoons depicting the congressman hiding out to avoid reporters. But Poliquin’s actions go beyond political comedy, absurdity or timidity. Poliquin’s ear-budded refusal to divulge his position on Trumpcare until […]

Protests against Trump are far more popular than the Tea Party ever

The Tea Party, which began in the early years of the Obama’s administration, had a lot less support than today’s anti-Trump Women’s marches. You can see that in this graph of data from the Washington Post, which in late January 2017 asked about support for the Women’s marches, and earlier queried about Tea Party support […]

Looks like support for Bernie Sanders is declining

All the Democratic primaries are nearly done. Clinton should win nearly all contests remaining* and by June 7 will reach a majority of pledged delegates, those awarded from people participating in primaries and caucuses. Sanders’ only path to the nomination would be for superdelegates to overturn the pledged delegates, something early in the race his campaign […]

Why the GOP schism matters more than the Democratic divide

Are both parties divided? Well, to some extent, sure. Protestors in California shouted at Hillary Clinton and her supporters and your social media feed may be full of angry claims from some who so Feel the Bern that they don’t ever want to vote for Clinton. Meanwhile, the only living former Republican presidents announced they won’t […]

The media narrative that Clinton garners less enthusiasm is wrong

Since Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders emerged as a candidate who could generate big crowds, the media narrative has been that his supporters are more enthusiastic than Hillary Clinton’s. Reading the recent polls suggests that’s not true. You can see this in three different sorts of polls: ones that ask about people’s commitment to their candidate, […]

Is Bernie Sanders more electable than Hillary Clinton?

  Some of my best friends are Sanders supporters* and lately a lot of them are touting a Quinnipiac poll that shows Bernie Sanders with a bigger lead over Donald Trump (+13) than Hillary Clinton has over Trump (+7). The reason why they’re bringing up this poll seems obvious. Some Democratic voters may be making […]

BDN’s “The Point” is wrong about independents

Vic Berardelli’s piece in “The Point” about primaries is right to point out that primary polls and votes could change. However, he’s dead wrong in what he says about independents. Berardelli writes: [Independents] are mostly free thinkers who go back and forth between parties, and they dislike both parties as organizations. So they’re watching all of […]

People don’t want Obamacare’s repeal. Republicans start to get the message.

Since the Affordable Care Act was adopted, the tectonic plates of health care politics look like they’re shifting. Rep. Bruce Poliquin hasn’t even been in office five months, and already his positions on the Affordable Care Act (Obamacare) have moved enough to make several flip-flop-themed campaign ads. Poliquin attacked primary opponent Kevin Raye for being […]