Tag Archives: public opinion

Looks like support for Bernie Sanders is declining

HuffPost Pollster poll aggregate, Clinton vs Sanders

All the Democratic primaries are nearly done. Clinton should win nearly all contests remaining* and by June 7 will reach a majority of pledged delegates, those awarded from people participating in primaries and caucuses. Sanders’ only path to the nomination would be for superdelegates to overturn the pledged delegates, something early in the race his campaign […]

Why the GOP schism matters more than the Democratic divide

Are both parties divided? Well, to some extent, sure. Protestors in California shouted at Hillary Clinton and her supporters and your social media feed may be full of angry claims from some who so Feel the Bern that they don’t ever want to vote for Clinton. Meanwhile, the only living former Republican presidents announced they won’t […]

The media narrative that Clinton garners less enthusiasm is wrong

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Since Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders emerged as a candidate who could generate big crowds, the media narrative has been that his supporters are more enthusiastic than Hillary Clinton’s. Reading the recent polls suggests that’s not true. You can see this in three different sorts of polls: ones that ask about people’s commitment to their candidate, […]

Is Bernie Sanders more electable than Hillary Clinton?

Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont.

  Some of my best friends are Sanders supporters* and lately a lot of them are touting a Quinnipiac poll that shows Bernie Sanders with a bigger lead over Donald Trump (+13) than Hillary Clinton has over Trump (+7). The reason why they’re bringing up this poll seems obvious. Some Democratic voters may be making […]

BDN’s “The Point” is wrong about independents

Source: Pew Research Center, "A Deep Dive into Party Affiliation" April 2015

Vic Berardelli’s piece in “The Point” about primaries is right to point out that primary polls and votes could change. However, he’s dead wrong in what he says about independents. Berardelli writes: [Independents] are mostly free thinkers who go back and forth between parties, and they dislike both parties as organizations. So they’re watching all of […]

People don’t want Obamacare’s repeal. Republicans start to get the message.

Since the Affordable Care Act was adopted, the tectonic plates of health care politics look like they’re shifting. Rep. Bruce Poliquin hasn’t even been in office five months, and already his positions on the Affordable Care Act (Obamacare) have moved enough to make several flip-flop-themed campaign ads. Poliquin attacked primary opponent Kevin Raye for being […]

No, Gov. LePage is not popular

BDN photo by Gabor Degre

Perhaps it’s because Gov. LePage was just sworn in for his second term (and, by the way, congratulations), but there’s been an odd tendency for some newspaper articles to refer to the governor as popular. It’s odd because “popular,” while somewhat vague, implies that at least a majority support and/or like someone or something. It’s […]

Obama’s job approval vs. George W. Bush — better but not great

From Alec Tyson, "Obama viewed as more caring than Bush, but no more effective," FactTank (Pew Research), July 16, 2014

Obama’s U.S. job approval are not strong right now. For a good part of his second term, his job approval numbers have been in the mid-forties. However, those numbers are clearly ahead of where George W. Bush was at this same point in Bush’s presidency. As this chart of data from the Pew Research Center […]

In polarized times, who do we politically despise?

Screen Shot 2014-06-12 at 9.12.01 AM

In the song “National Brotherhood Week” Tom Lehrer rhapsodized, “It’s fun to eulogize those we despise.” “All of my folks hate all of your folks. It’s American as apple pie.” A new, extensive Pew study on political polarization shows that reality is getting closer to that poetic license. Polarization is increasing all around. But one finding […]

Quick action on Fluke post was the right move, but GOP still faces challenges with women

From "How Women Changed the Outcome of the Election," Center for American Progress, December 12, 2012

Last week BDN blogger Mike Tipping broke the news that the Maine Republican Party’s Facebook page had an obnoxious post on Sandra Fluke, which was followed by a series of nasty comments about her. Fluke became a public figure after she was attacked by Rush Limbaugh for her testimony in favor of including birth control […]