Category Archives: National

Best pollster in Iowa has good news for Trump and Sanders

The Iowa caucuses are four months away and they’re notoriously difficult to poll. And, of course, like in every case, each poll is just a snapshot. Polls can’t predict what will happen, and just show a picture, however blurry, of current conditions. Moreover, no single poll should be taken as the gospel truth. Multiple polls […]

BDN’s “The Point” is wrong about independents

Source: Pew Research Center, "A Deep Dive into Party Affiliation" April 2015

Vic Berardelli’s piece in “The Point” about primaries is right to point out that primary polls and votes could change. However, he’s dead wrong in what he says about independents. Berardelli writes: [Independents] are mostly free thinkers who go back and forth between parties, and they dislike both parties as organizations. So they’re watching all of […]

Despite the hype, actually Hillary Clinton’s campaign is doing just fine

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It’s been odd to see all the claims that Hillary Clinton’s campaign is crashing or that she’s a terrible campaigner. That’s because the evidence just doesn’t back that up. In the nomination fight, she’s far ahead in national polls and behind only in one state, New Hampshire, which happens to be right next to the […]

Crushing college costs make the personal political

All around the country, students are packing up and going off to college. Proud parents are remembering moments like when their kids came home from the hospital, ventured off to kindergarten and attended their first school dance. And while the food bill will go down a lot without that teenager and his or her crew […]

Three key reasons why Trump is actually getting more likely to win nomination

Donald Trump speaking at CPAC in Washington D.C. on February 10, 2011. Photo credit: Gage Skidmore (Creative Commons)

Donald Trump hasn’t gotten much respect from pundits. They said he wouldn’t run for the nomination, or wouldn’t file the financial disclosure paperwork, or wouldn’t put his money in for staff and campaign offices in Iowa and New Hampshire. Then he did all of that. And they said that his comments about McCain would sink […]

What do people actually think of Planned Parenthood?

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After activists who oppose women being able to choose abortion began to release edited tapes aimed at undermining Planned Parenthood, you might wonder what people think of the group now. Planned Parenthood is seen more positively than negatively Surveys by YouGov, taken over time, show rather stable views toward the group, with small declines in […]

Four things Paul LePage and Donald Trump have in common

Donald Trump’s rise in the Republican presidential nomination polls has been swift and possibly short-lived. Then again, comments on my Republican friends’ Facebook pages suggest Trump has a real constituency in the GOP. Those commenters suggest that Trump is not afraid of the media or the Establishment. They like his intensity. Sure, those remarks are […]

One waitress and the coming pitched battle for women’s votes

When candidates speak and elected officials craft policies, they should remember Judy, a waitress and housekeeper who played a bit role in a Washington, D.C., drama. In September 2013, Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, took to the Senate floor to rail against the Affordable Care Act. Republicans later shut down the federal government, although Cruz did […]

Three stark, politically critical dynastic differences between Jeb and Hillary

Data from CBS/New York Times Poll, April 30-March 3, 2015

The 2016 Clinton and Bush presidential candidates have families in the business, but that background helps one and hurts the other. Some complain a possible Hillary Clinton-Jeb Bush match-up would repeat two families too much, even calling this a clash of dynasties. Others see this background positively, in that the 2016 would have a greater […]

Poliquin’s eye-popping haul and policy priorities

U.S. Rep. Bruce Poliquin has started filling his campaign coffers while voting to loosen controls on Wall Street, redistribute taxpayers’ money to the very wealthiest Americans, and undermine Medicare and other popular programs. When Poliquin announced raising $700,000 in the first three months of his first term, the Maine Republican Party was certainly correct in […]